Tennis | ATP Tour Finals | Preview and Odds

It might not have the glitz or glamour of Wimbledon, but the ATP Tour Finals is a significant part of the tennis calendar.

It is perhaps the only tournament that the top players play more than one or two matches against other top players, with the round-robin format ensuring each player has at least three matches.

Our sports betting expert previews the tournament and highlights the best bets.

The Usual Suspects

Since the move to London back in 2009, Novak Djokovic has been the man to beat in the Finals event. He’s picked up the trophy in four of the last seven tournaments and was losing finalist last year. He’s 8/13 to win his first match against Matteo Berrettini by two sets to love, which could set him on track to pick up another title. The Serb is 23/20 to win the tournament at

Roger Federer has had quite a lean time of it at this event in recent years, falling in three finals since last winning it in 2011. He still has six titles to his name in this event’s various formats over the years, and would definitely fancy adding a seventh crown this time around. He starts with a difficult encounter against Dominic Thiem, which should be a close match, with Thiem prevailing in four of their last five meetings. Federer is 1/4 to pick up the win, but Thiem to edge it 2-1 seems to be the way to go at 15/2.

Rafael Nadal has had an excellent year, even by his lofty standards, lifting his customary French Open title alongside another US Open gong. He did, however, withdraw from the Paris Masters event last week due to an abdominal injury which could blight his chances, if he manages to play at all. He’s currently 9/2 to win the tournament at, but this one may be better to avoid due to his fitness doubts.

The Outsiders

Daniil Medvedev had arguably a breakthrough season, making his first Grand Slam final appearance in a losing cause at the US Open.  The Russian won the most matches and the most tournaments on hard courts last year, so could pose a threat to the big-guns at 4/1.

Alexander Zverev is scheduled to play Nadal in his opening game on Sunday, so may end up with a slightly easier opening match if Nadal isn’t fit enough to take part. Zverev won this tournament last year, beating Novak Djokovic in the final and he’s an outside chance 11/1 to retain his crown this year.

Check out all Grosvenor Sport’s tennis betting markets.




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